You will also have days where you get supremely unlucky. Every bettor in the world has very bad days, weeks and months. Similarly, don't get too down after a bad week.

Don't get too high and stick to your process. I mean you have 3% odds of going 5-0 by having your dog pick five games for you at random. If you go 5-0 one week, that doesn't mean you have it all figured out and should go overboard the following week. You can also look at metrics such as DVOA on Football Outsiders in addition to the abundance of advanced metrics available on the Internet, from PFF to Sports Info Solutions.Īlso, don't overreact when it comes to your results.

We have our NFL power ratings which seek to do just that. That's not nearly as effective as 400 yards in 50 plays. For example, a team may put up 400 yards a game, but take 80 plays to do it. There are plenty of tools and sites out there that can help you filter out a lot of the noise and adjust for opponents. On a related note, final scores and basic stats can be very misleading. This isn't college football, where a school like Rutgers that's completely devoid of talent never has any chance against Ohio State. Every team is uber-talented, and the gap between the best and worst teams isn't as big as you think. And vice versa with teams that get blown out. You'll see this after Week 1, and get some reactive point spreads in Week 2.Īs a general rule of thumb, teams that dominate one week are usually not as good as they looked. Naturally, there will be an abundance of hot takes each and every week. The NFL regular season only has 256 games and is the most widely covered and talked about sport in the country. Things like will Derrick Henry score a touchdown, Tom Brady over or under 295.5 passing yards, Cooper Kupp over or under 8.5 catches.

Props: Short for proposition bets, props are any bet that doesn't necessarily have an impact on the final score.

You're not trying to guess it exactly, but instead bet whether it will go over or under a set amount of points.

Total: A wager on the total number of points in the game.

The Jets might be +200, winning you $2 for every $1 risked. The odds are adjusted for team ability so in that same game, the Pats might be around -250, meaning you need to risk $2.50 for every $1 you want to win.

Moneyline: You're picking the winner of the game.If you bet the Patriots as a -6.5 favorite over the Jets, New England needs to win by 7 points or more for you to cash your bet. Point spread: This is a bet on the margin of victory.There are a few key terms you should know:

Betting on football games online